GCBy3000
06-17 05:58 PM
This is just a misuse of H1. They should bring up a new law stating the H1 will automatically get cancelled if the beneficiary does not get employed in three months. With this, the real demand for H1 could be estimated easily.
The speed in which h1 FOR MS in USA shows that there is not that much demand to H1s. Only around 7500 was filled. The H1 Cap 65000 was reached for because Indian companies were rushing to make it before H1 cap is reached. One has to analyse how much is going to be used really. They will use need basis and won't cancel if not used. So increasing to 110k will be enough to meet the real demand but then also Cap will be reached in another 2 months because consulting companies process h1 first and find the job for them later. But Real demand can be analysed in other way. Because of Rushing thro H1s lot of companies which are having Real job demand(Companies like Intel Microsoft) could not hire. H1s for US MS degree holders solved the issue Partialy. May be if the increase that quota to 40k then demand will be enough.
The speed in which h1 FOR MS in USA shows that there is not that much demand to H1s. Only around 7500 was filled. The H1 Cap 65000 was reached for because Indian companies were rushing to make it before H1 cap is reached. One has to analyse how much is going to be used really. They will use need basis and won't cancel if not used. So increasing to 110k will be enough to meet the real demand but then also Cap will be reached in another 2 months because consulting companies process h1 first and find the job for them later. But Real demand can be analysed in other way. Because of Rushing thro H1s lot of companies which are having Real job demand(Companies like Intel Microsoft) could not hire. H1s for US MS degree holders solved the issue Partialy. May be if the increase that quota to 40k then demand will be enough.
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mundada
04-09 12:02 PM
Says who?
How do you know that US masters degree dont need to work for consulting firms?
Do US masters degree holders work for Deloitte? IBM Global Services? Accenture? KPMG? Price Water House Coopers?
What about Oracle consulting services? What about TRW? Bearingpoint?
All these are consulting companies or the divisions of consulting companies. Both US degree holders and the non-US degree holding duffers like myself work in consulting firms(I dont anymore since 2003). In fact, I have had my classmates from India have to look for consulting jobs after they did MS in computer science from USA.
You are under the impression that the bill is outlawing desi consulting firms and firms that exploit.
The bill outlaws OUTPLACEMENT. And the bill applies to all firms, desi firms and the big 5 consulting firms and your IBM, TRW ... everyone.
Please read the bill and read the description in the first post.
And although I am the last one to engage in US-degree versus non-US degree and Masters Versus Non-Masters fueds, I am tempted to say that US masters or US degree isnt worth a bucket of warm spit when the market is bad.
When the market is really bad, like it was in 2001 and 2002, I have seen many Masters degree holders pack up and throw in the towel and I have seen many individuals with degrees from private Tier 3 university from India survive just fine in an environment where there were 80 resumes for each IT job. The US masters degree holders, particularly with computer masters degrees with their courses in useless subjects like "assembly level programming" and their binary math didnt do squat for them while looking for jobs during recession times and could not stand competition from bachelor's degree holders from Tier 3 university from India who had done 6 month course in NIIT.
However if you are proud of your US degree and US masters, suit yourself. But dont say things like "I dont need consulting". Coz you really do and so do thousands of others having US degrees.
I take strong exception to following statements:
"The US masters degree holders, particularly with computer masters degrees with their courses in useless subjects like "assembly level programming" and their binary math didnt do squat for them while looking for jobs during recession times and could not stand competition from bachelor's degree holders from Tier 3 university from India who had done 6 month course in NIIT. "
The above statement is completely wrong. I needed assembly level programming and the binary math for designing satellite switched routers. There is no way to get packet processing time to less than a micro second without knowing assembly language and binary math. I have been in R&D for 3.5 years and I can assure all of you who are taking these courses that these courses are very relevant if you are looking for a job in high computing and high performance industry.
In addition I passed MS in 2001 and alongwith many others went through the same period of 2001 job market!
How do you know that US masters degree dont need to work for consulting firms?
Do US masters degree holders work for Deloitte? IBM Global Services? Accenture? KPMG? Price Water House Coopers?
What about Oracle consulting services? What about TRW? Bearingpoint?
All these are consulting companies or the divisions of consulting companies. Both US degree holders and the non-US degree holding duffers like myself work in consulting firms(I dont anymore since 2003). In fact, I have had my classmates from India have to look for consulting jobs after they did MS in computer science from USA.
You are under the impression that the bill is outlawing desi consulting firms and firms that exploit.
The bill outlaws OUTPLACEMENT. And the bill applies to all firms, desi firms and the big 5 consulting firms and your IBM, TRW ... everyone.
Please read the bill and read the description in the first post.
And although I am the last one to engage in US-degree versus non-US degree and Masters Versus Non-Masters fueds, I am tempted to say that US masters or US degree isnt worth a bucket of warm spit when the market is bad.
When the market is really bad, like it was in 2001 and 2002, I have seen many Masters degree holders pack up and throw in the towel and I have seen many individuals with degrees from private Tier 3 university from India survive just fine in an environment where there were 80 resumes for each IT job. The US masters degree holders, particularly with computer masters degrees with their courses in useless subjects like "assembly level programming" and their binary math didnt do squat for them while looking for jobs during recession times and could not stand competition from bachelor's degree holders from Tier 3 university from India who had done 6 month course in NIIT.
However if you are proud of your US degree and US masters, suit yourself. But dont say things like "I dont need consulting". Coz you really do and so do thousands of others having US degrees.
I take strong exception to following statements:
"The US masters degree holders, particularly with computer masters degrees with their courses in useless subjects like "assembly level programming" and their binary math didnt do squat for them while looking for jobs during recession times and could not stand competition from bachelor's degree holders from Tier 3 university from India who had done 6 month course in NIIT. "
The above statement is completely wrong. I needed assembly level programming and the binary math for designing satellite switched routers. There is no way to get packet processing time to less than a micro second without knowing assembly language and binary math. I have been in R&D for 3.5 years and I can assure all of you who are taking these courses that these courses are very relevant if you are looking for a job in high computing and high performance industry.
In addition I passed MS in 2001 and alongwith many others went through the same period of 2001 job market!
susie
04-22 01:49 PM
Spoke with Carl Shusterman today and he has requested a copy of my law suit. He his heading a meeting with AILA in two weeks and it appears wheels are in motion for bill/amendments to cspa to protect children who have already aged out!!!!!!!!!! so you may wish to keep checking out this thread http://expatsvoice.org/forum/showthread.php?t=23 also subscribe to his news letter at www.shusterman.com
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sandy_anand
07-23 03:38 PM
Hi,
My labor certification was filed in Dec. '06. Since its date of filing, the online case status was showing as "in process". However, on 07/20/07, last week, the status changed to "case denied".
1) What are the next steps?
2) Do I need to refile the labor certification. If yes, how soon can it be done?
3) Can it be filed for the same position or it needs to be filed for a different position?
4) Should I find a new employer to file for labor certification as my current employer could not get my labor certification approved or I should stick with this employer itself and file for a new labor certification?
Please help me out.
Thanks
Sorry to hear about your bad luck. It really depends on why the case was denied. Your best bet would be to talk to your attorney to find out why it was rejected. Depending on the reason, the attorney can file an appeal.
My labor certification was filed in Dec. '06. Since its date of filing, the online case status was showing as "in process". However, on 07/20/07, last week, the status changed to "case denied".
1) What are the next steps?
2) Do I need to refile the labor certification. If yes, how soon can it be done?
3) Can it be filed for the same position or it needs to be filed for a different position?
4) Should I find a new employer to file for labor certification as my current employer could not get my labor certification approved or I should stick with this employer itself and file for a new labor certification?
Please help me out.
Thanks
Sorry to hear about your bad luck. It really depends on why the case was denied. Your best bet would be to talk to your attorney to find out why it was rejected. Depending on the reason, the attorney can file an appeal.
more...
Nil
04-06 07:51 PM
Very true - anyone who goes ahead in the queue is actually easing it up for the latter. This is Never about belittling a fellow sufferer.
If PhDs get a quota relief, will be good for all of us, although i personally will not qualify.
US Bachelors/Masters holders in a STEM field for example, will similarly ease up the system.
Hopefully all others will see it that way.
If PhDs get a quota relief, will be good for all of us, although i personally will not qualify.
US Bachelors/Masters holders in a STEM field for example, will similarly ease up the system.
Hopefully all others will see it that way.
girijas
04-16 01:15 PM
Depending on how my training goes, I should know in 3 months if I am capable of doing the half marathon in 2009. When does the registration end?
One of my close friends is considering running the DC 10 miler with me. She never ran or walked a race before. Hopefully she will decide to atleast walk before the end of the day. That will be good for both of us
I partnered with my aunt to walk the SF 5K as well. now I really need to partner with someone who can run the Houston 1/2 marathon with me.
One of my close friends is considering running the DC 10 miler with me. She never ran or walked a race before. Hopefully she will decide to atleast walk before the end of the day. That will be good for both of us
I partnered with my aunt to walk the SF 5K as well. now I really need to partner with someone who can run the Houston 1/2 marathon with me.
more...
i4u
05-12 09:37 AM
I live in Los Angeles and sent my paper-based application to Nebraska. it reached on May 01 but no reciept or check cashed yet.
I know After reading this forum that I should have mailed to Phoenix lockbox instead on Nebraska service center.
Anyone in the same boat?. Do i need to file again or wait for USCIS to forward it to Phoenix lockbox.
__________________
PD - Jan 2006
I-140 - Approved
I-485 - Application reached NSC July, 2007
You will receive your papers back and you will have to resend it to the right location. Check the USCIS website.
I know After reading this forum that I should have mailed to Phoenix lockbox instead on Nebraska service center.
Anyone in the same boat?. Do i need to file again or wait for USCIS to forward it to Phoenix lockbox.
__________________
PD - Jan 2006
I-140 - Approved
I-485 - Application reached NSC July, 2007
You will receive your papers back and you will have to resend it to the right location. Check the USCIS website.
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RandyK
03-28 11:48 AM
My PD is Aug 2005
Just a month behind :(
Just a month behind :(
more...
mighty80
02-28 03:27 PM
Donated 50$ for advocacy event.
Subscription Payment Sent (Unique Transaction ID # 40927168VE4498036)
See related S-27C40062MM1153923
Business Name:
Immigration Voice (The recipient of this payment is Verified)
Email:
donations@immigrationvoice.org
Subscription Payment Sent (Unique Transaction ID # 40927168VE4498036)
See related S-27C40062MM1153923
Business Name:
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Email:
donations@immigrationvoice.org
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Lasantha
03-28 10:29 AM
Yes, it sounds bad. Randy what is your PD?
EB3
�MurthyDotCom
It is expected that the cutoff dates in the employment-based, third preference category (EB3) will remain the same during the month of May 2008. However, this depends on the USCIS's processing of cases, as visa numbers are assigned based on I-485 approvals. Therefore, the number of I-485 applications approved by the USCIS determines, to a large extent, the immigrant visa number usage. (The consulates also use EB3 visa numbers, but far fewer than the USCIS.)
�MurthyDotCom
The EB3 cutoff dates moved forward in March and April 2008 in an attempt to avoid a recurrence of the events of the summer of 2007. As our regular readers, in the summer of 2007, the Visa Bulletin reflected current for most categories in an effort not to have an immigrant visa numbers go unused by the end of the fiscal year. They dates are being moved more quickly in the spring, as there is a potential that USCIS will have to reallocate staff from I-485 cases to naturalization cases to address the backlogs with those filings in order to naturalize eligible individuals prior to the November 2008 general election. Moving the dates forward permits case approvals and full utilization of immigrant visa numbers before the end of the fiscal year.
According to murthy's website, May VB will not move for EB3, bad news for us.
EB3
�MurthyDotCom
It is expected that the cutoff dates in the employment-based, third preference category (EB3) will remain the same during the month of May 2008. However, this depends on the USCIS's processing of cases, as visa numbers are assigned based on I-485 approvals. Therefore, the number of I-485 applications approved by the USCIS determines, to a large extent, the immigrant visa number usage. (The consulates also use EB3 visa numbers, but far fewer than the USCIS.)
�MurthyDotCom
The EB3 cutoff dates moved forward in March and April 2008 in an attempt to avoid a recurrence of the events of the summer of 2007. As our regular readers, in the summer of 2007, the Visa Bulletin reflected current for most categories in an effort not to have an immigrant visa numbers go unused by the end of the fiscal year. They dates are being moved more quickly in the spring, as there is a potential that USCIS will have to reallocate staff from I-485 cases to naturalization cases to address the backlogs with those filings in order to naturalize eligible individuals prior to the November 2008 general election. Moving the dates forward permits case approvals and full utilization of immigrant visa numbers before the end of the fiscal year.
According to murthy's website, May VB will not move for EB3, bad news for us.
more...
delhirocks
06-14 03:02 PM
I don't know much about the process...but can't you just scrap your old labor...file with PERM (15 day preperation time, 1 mth Ads, 1 mth waiting period -- puts you in sept 1st), Labor cleared in 3 weeks (sep 21st) and then file 140 & 485 together. Might cost you like 10,000, but in my books its totaly worth it, if you & your wife get an ead even 6 mths earlier.
Years we have been told priority date establishes your place in the queue.
We have spurned job offers and declined the new PERM process to hold on to the priority dates.
Many are still awaiting labor certifications from the backlog elimination centers. Out comes USCIS and says everyone with a LC can file I140 & I485.
People still waiting for LC with priority dates in 2003-2004 are seeing applicants who have priority dates as late as 2007 but with approved LCs through PERM walk through to I485.
Net result, USCIS is going to be flooded with applicants enough to retrogress the priority dates 3-4 years back as early as september. (Everybody with a LC will be able to file for I485 in July). So applicants with priority dates of 2007 are going to get EAD and GC, while LC backlogged 2003 applicants to have to wait for another 3-4 years before they can even file I485.
Aint fair. Aint fair at all. How can this be. How can rules be changed in the middle of the game.
Years we have been told priority date establishes your place in the queue.
We have spurned job offers and declined the new PERM process to hold on to the priority dates.
Many are still awaiting labor certifications from the backlog elimination centers. Out comes USCIS and says everyone with a LC can file I140 & I485.
People still waiting for LC with priority dates in 2003-2004 are seeing applicants who have priority dates as late as 2007 but with approved LCs through PERM walk through to I485.
Net result, USCIS is going to be flooded with applicants enough to retrogress the priority dates 3-4 years back as early as september. (Everybody with a LC will be able to file for I485 in July). So applicants with priority dates of 2007 are going to get EAD and GC, while LC backlogged 2003 applicants to have to wait for another 3-4 years before they can even file I485.
Aint fair. Aint fair at all. How can this be. How can rules be changed in the middle of the game.
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akhilmahajan
05-25 02:43 PM
Has anybody got any movement on their Efiled EAD around April 19th? I had sent my paperwork to TX. As of now my status shows Initial Review. No FP has been ordered also, which I did last time when I renewed my EAD 2 years back.
Anybody facing similar delays?
I have seen a lot of people getting their EAD's approvals with in 2-3 weeks.
I will really appreciate if folks can share their time line.
Thanks for the help.
Anybody facing similar delays?
I have seen a lot of people getting their EAD's approvals with in 2-3 weeks.
I will really appreciate if folks can share their time line.
Thanks for the help.
more...
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logiclife
06-29 01:12 PM
I have submitted all the documents to my laywer on 6/25 itself (including medical) but they are just heavily back logged and won't be filing my case till Jul 10. I am just frustated now. I even offered to pay extra to speed it up but no use. I am only worried if dates retrogress half way through?
To my real question.. Can we just file on our own with out the lawyer? I would hate to loose this window just coz my laywer couldn't do it. Not sure how I would break that kinda news to my wife, "I know the dates were current for 10 days in July but our lawyer didn't have time so now you will have to stay at home for 1 more year".
Here is the self-filing thread.
http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/showthread.php?t=5132
Please read the disclaimer on the home page about the thread content. These are members like you and they are not lawyers and the forums advice is not legal advice or legal counsel. Do it at your own risk.
You still do need your employer to give you one letter about your future employment. Other than that, you might have everything you need to file your 485 and employer's involvement is minimal.
If your 140 has not yet been filed, then you definately need your employer's involvement and in that case, firing your lawyer hired by your employer might actually cause more delay because you will have to do a lot of co-ordination on your own with employer and your new lawyer. Getting 140 filed without lawyer is probably very tough. So self-filing of 485 makes sense mostly for those who have approved 140.
To my real question.. Can we just file on our own with out the lawyer? I would hate to loose this window just coz my laywer couldn't do it. Not sure how I would break that kinda news to my wife, "I know the dates were current for 10 days in July but our lawyer didn't have time so now you will have to stay at home for 1 more year".
Here is the self-filing thread.
http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/showthread.php?t=5132
Please read the disclaimer on the home page about the thread content. These are members like you and they are not lawyers and the forums advice is not legal advice or legal counsel. Do it at your own risk.
You still do need your employer to give you one letter about your future employment. Other than that, you might have everything you need to file your 485 and employer's involvement is minimal.
If your 140 has not yet been filed, then you definately need your employer's involvement and in that case, firing your lawyer hired by your employer might actually cause more delay because you will have to do a lot of co-ordination on your own with employer and your new lawyer. Getting 140 filed without lawyer is probably very tough. So self-filing of 485 makes sense mostly for those who have approved 140.
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Michael chertoff
08-02 10:54 AM
Why do we need a new thread for this. Just continue on to the "2010 last quarter approvals" thread....keeps things organized and simple for everyone to follow
That became a donor forum. Poor people like me can not view that thread.
Thanks
MC
That became a donor forum. Poor people like me can not view that thread.
Thanks
MC
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neelu
01-03 12:03 AM
yes, the goal was to be a 10,000 member community by Dec-31st.
We have not achieved that. Lets shoot for becoming a 8000 member community by Jan 15th. I think smaller goals are more easily achievable.
I thought, 15000 members was a small goal. But I guess we have to start with even smaller goals. I agree with Amit.
There's too much at stake to give up this campaign. Without membership, we are a weak bunch. To fight organized campaigns by groups such as Numbersusa we need the member strength.
Let us aim for 8000 members by Jan 15th. Current membership stands at 7919. We need just 80 members to reach the 8000 mark. If 10% of the current membership brings ONE member by Jan 15th, we can easily reach that target. With 300000 immigrants in this kind of quagmire, cant we get 80 people? I believe we can.
Let's join hands one more time and try to Add just ONE member by Jan15th. It is for our own sakes we will be doing it, so let's do it!!!
Admins,
Please send out an email (monthly newsletter) to all members informing them about this campaign.
Thank you.
Neelu
We have not achieved that. Lets shoot for becoming a 8000 member community by Jan 15th. I think smaller goals are more easily achievable.
I thought, 15000 members was a small goal. But I guess we have to start with even smaller goals. I agree with Amit.
There's too much at stake to give up this campaign. Without membership, we are a weak bunch. To fight organized campaigns by groups such as Numbersusa we need the member strength.
Let us aim for 8000 members by Jan 15th. Current membership stands at 7919. We need just 80 members to reach the 8000 mark. If 10% of the current membership brings ONE member by Jan 15th, we can easily reach that target. With 300000 immigrants in this kind of quagmire, cant we get 80 people? I believe we can.
Let's join hands one more time and try to Add just ONE member by Jan15th. It is for our own sakes we will be doing it, so let's do it!!!
Admins,
Please send out an email (monthly newsletter) to all members informing them about this campaign.
Thank you.
Neelu
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gantilk
07-31 11:53 AM
Sorry.. i mean "earliest".
more...
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NolaIndian32
04-07 01:07 PM
and what will this walk create awareness abt...during this period of recession and uncertanity???
hey white boy...help me get my GC..so that i can take ur job and u can go flip burgers !
Hi PointlessWait,
The three events we will be walking/running as a Team are about getting our organization's name out in the open. This can help increase membership and further financial support for IV. By getting our name out there, we are sure to encounter more legal immigrants who may not be aware of IV as a resource. Thus introducing them to IV and providing them with a support network for their future immigration issues.
I have introduced this concept to several of my friends all of whom are US Citizens and each of them support legal immigrants who are here in the US working honest, legal jobs. Each of them have already promised that they will join Team IV and support the fundraising of $300 per Individual Member to support IV's longterm lobbying efforts.
IV has had some very significant successes over the past year and your continued support via Team IV can help with IV's long term goals.
I hope you will join us in this campaign!:)
Thanks,
NolaIndian
hey white boy...help me get my GC..so that i can take ur job and u can go flip burgers !
Hi PointlessWait,
The three events we will be walking/running as a Team are about getting our organization's name out in the open. This can help increase membership and further financial support for IV. By getting our name out there, we are sure to encounter more legal immigrants who may not be aware of IV as a resource. Thus introducing them to IV and providing them with a support network for their future immigration issues.
I have introduced this concept to several of my friends all of whom are US Citizens and each of them support legal immigrants who are here in the US working honest, legal jobs. Each of them have already promised that they will join Team IV and support the fundraising of $300 per Individual Member to support IV's longterm lobbying efforts.
IV has had some very significant successes over the past year and your continued support via Team IV can help with IV's long term goals.
I hope you will join us in this campaign!:)
Thanks,
NolaIndian
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Marphad
04-08 03:42 PM
there was a rencent drive undertaken by IV which involved getting a list from USCIS (or some other authority) about where the visa #s are being used, right ?
Perhaps something to do with collecting money from the requstor..
Basically, USCIS sent letters to a few folks asking them to pay 5000$ or so to get the list as it involved some programming ?
Where is that ? does anyone know ?
the visa bulletin is just ...what do you say....
Good morning. Type "FOIA" in search box. you will find those threads.
Perhaps something to do with collecting money from the requstor..
Basically, USCIS sent letters to a few folks asking them to pay 5000$ or so to get the list as it involved some programming ?
Where is that ? does anyone know ?
the visa bulletin is just ...what do you say....
Good morning. Type "FOIA" in search box. you will find those threads.
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hebron
07-14 04:00 PM
Sure ,, I am totally fed up I am in this country from 2000.
"...so far.I haven't contributed....I am ready to contribute...if IV is going to show some interest on EB3.
IV may not be ditching EB3, but I cannot understand why IV is quiet about the new bill that that is introduced in the house and is referred to the judiciary committee. This bill may be a political drama, but there is no reason why we should not create awareness. I personally think if this gets media attention, this will do good than harm. Especially since the AZ immigration, DOJ lawsuit etc.. are in the news these days. This bill is for legal immigration and we should support it to the best we can.
See this thread..
http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/forum16-iv-agenda-and-legislative-updates/1598791-new-employment-based-visa-bill-introduced-3.html#post1969287
"...so far.I haven't contributed....I am ready to contribute...if IV is going to show some interest on EB3.
IV may not be ditching EB3, but I cannot understand why IV is quiet about the new bill that that is introduced in the house and is referred to the judiciary committee. This bill may be a political drama, but there is no reason why we should not create awareness. I personally think if this gets media attention, this will do good than harm. Especially since the AZ immigration, DOJ lawsuit etc.. are in the news these days. This bill is for legal immigration and we should support it to the best we can.
See this thread..
http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/forum16-iv-agenda-and-legislative-updates/1598791-new-employment-based-visa-bill-introduced-3.html#post1969287
BharatPremi
10-12 11:10 AM
I will appreciate your comments
RandyK, Yabadaba, EkAuraaya,
Sorry guys I was busy in other forums all these days. Today somehow I visited this forum and found your comments.
Now coming to the point it is very hard for me to put stats from 1999 to till today as a "proof" here but I will try to summarized in terms of events. And generally I will keep my predictions tagged to INDIA only because I have not studied or analyzed other categories greatly.
1) Till 2000 second quarter Labor approval in old system was really fast.
People used to have approved labor in one and half months in states like
california. If you arrived in USA in year 2005 or your GC is filed in 2005 or
thereafter you would not understand why I am writing this but ask the
importance about this sentence to the people who filed GC between 2001
and 2005.RIR was kind of recent concept and zillions of oppertunists were
taking advantage of that and still system was not broken. Categories were
not mattered much like today as for both catgories avg GC time was 2 to 3
years from start to end.
2) Here comes famous year 2001 - USCIS came up with AC21 and
simultaneously RIR catgory was starting having problems as those zillions
in step 1 already started clogging "RIR" and most of them were under EB2
USCIS (Then INS) started denial or tightened screws on RIR filing. Lawyers
started to force non-rir and preferably EB3 only category. From this point
onward category started to be mattered much and that thing is still going
on today. An dyet I have not talked about the mess and pile AC21
created with tons of bogus filings. EB2 clogging already became visible due
to RIR based filings... Lawyers were forcing EB3 and non-RIR filing and
couple ing with bogus filing EB3 Queue instantly became monsterous
(Within 6 months, or by the end of 2001) . Another factor is H1b Visa limit
made 195000 from 65000
3) RIR clogging mentioned in step 2 could become controllable so new filing
again get diverted towards EB2 with the knowledge of huge piled up filing
in Eb3. By year 2002 mid USCIS start experiencing "Adminsitrative
problems" and "huge work load and insufficient staff" and hence slow
approvals for labor. Simultaneously economy bubble bursted. Many
legitimate files became garbage as people were laid off left and right. For
survival in USA those laid off people join the queues of consulting
companies and multiple filings started to become visible.
4) Year 2003 - EB2 faced little retrogression briefly for 4-5 months and
second trend of RIR denials and second trend of forcing EB3- NON RIR
filing. EB3 faced brief retrogression for 2 months. Year 2003 finished with 2
Huge lines. Eb2 and Eb3. EB2 was predominantly RIR filings.. Screaming
already started and it was about to become like July fiasco at the first
quarter of year 2004. Because logically RIR was supposed to be faster
processing and it was serving its own purpose. Somehow USCIS realized
that and in all categories Eb2 started to be processed faster and Eb3 is
blocked. (Hey USCIS had 140000 visas only per year even at that time).
So end effect at the end of year 2004 the infamous block of EB3 got
implemented successfully and EB2 was running like "milkha singh".
5) By the year 2005 first quarter many people had to still wait although they
observed that they are in EB3 trap as economy was still bad. These group
slowly started to jump the fence either using LC substitution or new direct
filing under EB2. I remember one of my frined in California was asking me
that where he should pay $ 21000 for LC to desi comapny or not.
By the end of this process of jumping the fence to EB2 accelerated and
lasted till Year 2006. PERM was introduced.Backlog Centers were introduced.
For the whole 2 years (2005, 2006 and last quarter of 2004) EB3 was blocked
and EB2 was given preference.By the end of 2006 most stuck in EB2 since 2001
were released and got their GC. Now EB3 could start flowing.
6) You already know 2007 events.
7) Bottomline now EB3 will move upwards till 2005 mid with first priority and EB
2 will also brought till 2005 mid but this will be done by moving Eb3 first as
it is already way behind.
8) Once both EB2 and EB3 reches 2005 mid bench mark Eb2 will again
become faster with comparision to EB3.
Note: I have not talked about LC substitution practice during 2001 to 2004 but that black market was already flourishing
during all those years. And Have decided not to put 9/11 as a factor because nobody has a proof that USCIS
decided slow bleed based on 9/11. Yes we feel that but we cann ot produce the proof.
RandyK, Yabadaba, EkAuraaya,
Sorry guys I was busy in other forums all these days. Today somehow I visited this forum and found your comments.
Now coming to the point it is very hard for me to put stats from 1999 to till today as a "proof" here but I will try to summarized in terms of events. And generally I will keep my predictions tagged to INDIA only because I have not studied or analyzed other categories greatly.
1) Till 2000 second quarter Labor approval in old system was really fast.
People used to have approved labor in one and half months in states like
california. If you arrived in USA in year 2005 or your GC is filed in 2005 or
thereafter you would not understand why I am writing this but ask the
importance about this sentence to the people who filed GC between 2001
and 2005.RIR was kind of recent concept and zillions of oppertunists were
taking advantage of that and still system was not broken. Categories were
not mattered much like today as for both catgories avg GC time was 2 to 3
years from start to end.
2) Here comes famous year 2001 - USCIS came up with AC21 and
simultaneously RIR catgory was starting having problems as those zillions
in step 1 already started clogging "RIR" and most of them were under EB2
USCIS (Then INS) started denial or tightened screws on RIR filing. Lawyers
started to force non-rir and preferably EB3 only category. From this point
onward category started to be mattered much and that thing is still going
on today. An dyet I have not talked about the mess and pile AC21
created with tons of bogus filings. EB2 clogging already became visible due
to RIR based filings... Lawyers were forcing EB3 and non-RIR filing and
couple ing with bogus filing EB3 Queue instantly became monsterous
(Within 6 months, or by the end of 2001) . Another factor is H1b Visa limit
made 195000 from 65000
3) RIR clogging mentioned in step 2 could become controllable so new filing
again get diverted towards EB2 with the knowledge of huge piled up filing
in Eb3. By year 2002 mid USCIS start experiencing "Adminsitrative
problems" and "huge work load and insufficient staff" and hence slow
approvals for labor. Simultaneously economy bubble bursted. Many
legitimate files became garbage as people were laid off left and right. For
survival in USA those laid off people join the queues of consulting
companies and multiple filings started to become visible.
4) Year 2003 - EB2 faced little retrogression briefly for 4-5 months and
second trend of RIR denials and second trend of forcing EB3- NON RIR
filing. EB3 faced brief retrogression for 2 months. Year 2003 finished with 2
Huge lines. Eb2 and Eb3. EB2 was predominantly RIR filings.. Screaming
already started and it was about to become like July fiasco at the first
quarter of year 2004. Because logically RIR was supposed to be faster
processing and it was serving its own purpose. Somehow USCIS realized
that and in all categories Eb2 started to be processed faster and Eb3 is
blocked. (Hey USCIS had 140000 visas only per year even at that time).
So end effect at the end of year 2004 the infamous block of EB3 got
implemented successfully and EB2 was running like "milkha singh".
5) By the year 2005 first quarter many people had to still wait although they
observed that they are in EB3 trap as economy was still bad. These group
slowly started to jump the fence either using LC substitution or new direct
filing under EB2. I remember one of my frined in California was asking me
that where he should pay $ 21000 for LC to desi comapny or not.
By the end of this process of jumping the fence to EB2 accelerated and
lasted till Year 2006. PERM was introduced.Backlog Centers were introduced.
For the whole 2 years (2005, 2006 and last quarter of 2004) EB3 was blocked
and EB2 was given preference.By the end of 2006 most stuck in EB2 since 2001
were released and got their GC. Now EB3 could start flowing.
6) You already know 2007 events.
7) Bottomline now EB3 will move upwards till 2005 mid with first priority and EB
2 will also brought till 2005 mid but this will be done by moving Eb3 first as
it is already way behind.
8) Once both EB2 and EB3 reches 2005 mid bench mark Eb2 will again
become faster with comparision to EB3.
Note: I have not talked about LC substitution practice during 2001 to 2004 but that black market was already flourishing
during all those years. And Have decided not to put 9/11 as a factor because nobody has a proof that USCIS
decided slow bleed based on 9/11. Yes we feel that but we cann ot produce the proof.
smisachu
09-01 09:19 PM
Congrads to all the guys who got green!!
I hope we have a flood of approvals this month. The more approvals we see the further the dates will progress in Oct. So I am hoping that USCIS clears all pending cases till Jan 2005 and then moves the dates to Jan 2006:)
I hope we have a flood of approvals this month. The more approvals we see the further the dates will progress in Oct. So I am hoping that USCIS clears all pending cases till Jan 2005 and then moves the dates to Jan 2006:)
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